William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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NATIONAL POLL ON PRIMARY DAY – AT 8:21 A.M. ET:  We'll find out within hours who'll win the New Hampshire primary, but what about the national standing of the candidates?  From The Hill:

Donald Trump has a sizable national lead over other Republican White House hopefuls the day of New Hampshire’s GOP presidential primary, according to a new weekly tracking poll.

Trump commands a 15-point edge over his nearest competition in the NBC News/Survey Monkey poll released Tuesday.

He receives 35 percent, topping Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) at 20 percent and Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) at 17 percent.

Retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson is fourth with 7 percent, while a three-way tie exists for fifth place nationwide.

Former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-Fla.) is deadlocked with Govs. Chris Christie (R-N.J.) and John Kasich (R-Ohio) at 3 percent apiece. Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina rounds out the GOP field with 2 percent of her own.

Tuesday’s results, however, also found less confidence that Trump will win the Republican nomination.

About 42 percent believe he will take that honor, pollsters found, but that result is down 20 points from last week.

COMMENT:  On the Democratic side, Hillary leads Bernie 51-39 percent.  Both candidates on the Democratic side have remained relatively steady for the last month, at least in this poll.  Other polls show Sanders almost even with Hillary.

National polls are interesting snapshots, but only that.  We are in the nomination phase of the presidential election, and it's the state polls that may have some meaning.  But again, they're only interesting, and entertaining.  Don't take them to the bank.

February 9,  2016